Realtor Connection

headshot

Kevin Ogilvie

Regional Manager of Business Development

Dear Partners,

As we have closed out 2025, Natural Retreats Palm Springs would like to share several key observations in the Palm Springs luxury vacation rental market. We remain committed to providing relevant short-term rental data, along with insights specific to our local space. This annual market analysis reviews key performance indicators from 2025.

 

 

Market Overview

In 2025, the Palm Springs luxury vacation rental market remained steady overall, with revenue holding firm compared to the previous year. This stability came even as average daily rates rose, indicating that operators were able to command higher prices despite a slight dip in occupancy. Simply put, the market leaned on stronger pricing, rather than attracting more guests, to make the same revenue.

Early in the year, the market experienced a notable boost in occupancy driven by the wildfires in the nearby Los Angeles area. Many people displaced by the fires sought last-minute accommodation in Palm Springs, which created a surge in bookings and supported revenue during an important period.

Springtime showed promising signs of recovery, especially with the return of festivals and events that had been somewhat subdued in previous years. This helped lift demand and contributed to stronger performance during the peak season.

As summer approached, the market faced its usual seasonal slowdown, which was a bit more pronounced this year. High temperatures, changing travel patterns with families returning to school, and fewer international visitors, combined to soften demand during the warmer months.

Later in the year, holiday travel showed signs of a slower start though it ended strong in December. While rates remained relatively high, occupancy declined for November, suggesting that travelers might be more budget-conscious and adjusting plans accordingly.

Overall, 2025 reflected a shift toward a market that depends more on higher rates during busy times, with less reliance on filling every available night. The strong performance during peak periods helped balance the softer demand seen in shoulder and off-peak months.

Looking ahead, the key to future success will be finding ways to encourage more bookings during the slower parts of the year. This could include more flexible pricing, promotions, and targeting travelers who prefer longer stays or come from nearby regions. Striking the right balance between maintaining rates and boosting occupancy will be essential for continued growth and resilience.

Key Performance Indicators


The Data

This data was sourced from 57 property managers with +/- 1,300 properties, all of which are located within Palm Springs city limits.

Average Daily Rate (ADR)

Average Daily Rate (ADR) 2025 Palm Springs

 

 

Average Daily Rate:

The Palm Springs short-term rental market experienced a healthy year-over-year increase of 4% in Average Daily Rate (ADR) in 2025, reflecting overall pricing strength and sustained demand. This growth was driven primarily by performance during the peak season.

At the start of the year, external factors played a notable role. As previously mentioned, in January of 2025 a series of devastating wildfires across Los Angeles displaced many residents, leading to a surge in short-term, last-minute bookings throughout the broader region. This unexpected demand contributed to elevated occupancy and rate support during what is typically an already strong period.

As the year progressed into peak and shoulder seasons, the market demonstrated clear pricing power, particularly in the spring and again during the holiday season. April stood out as a defining month, signaling a strong return of festival-driven demand and reinforcing the area’s position as a premier seasonal destination.

Consistent with historical trends, the summer months brought a seasonal slowdown, largely driven by extreme desert temperatures. This resulted in softer ADR performance and highlighted an ongoing challenge for maintaining rate strength during this period.

The year concluded on a high note, with November and December delivering strong ADR growth, underscoring Palm Springs’ continued appeal as a warm-weather holiday destination. Travelers are increasingly drawn to the region’s climate and relaxed atmosphere, making it an attractive choice for gatherings with friends and family.

 

 

Market Occupancy

Occupancy Rate 2025 Palm Springs

 

 

Occupancy:

The Palm Springs short-term rental market recorded an overall 1.4% year-over-year decline in occupancy in 2025, signaling a modest softening in demand despite stable increasing pricing. This divergence suggests that, while rate strategy remained strong, booking volume did not fully keep pace.

At the start of the year, January stood out with a notable increase in occupancy, largely influenced by the devastating wildfires. These events led to a surge in last-minute bookings as displaced residents sought temporary accommodation, creating a boost in demand not likely replicated in the future.

April also delivered a meaningful uptick in occupancy, reflecting the continued recovery of festival-driven travel in the Coachella Valley. This performance signals a broader return toward pre-pandemic demand patterns during peak event season and reinforces the region’s reliance on large-scale attractions to drive compression.

The summer months followed expected seasonal trends, with softer occupancy levels due to extreme desert temperatures. However, the decline was slightly more pronounced than typical, with September marking the lowest point of the year. This dip can be partially attributed to more structured school calendars limiting family travel, as well as a potential slowdown in international visitation—possibly influenced by broader economic uncertainty and geopolitical factors.

Moving into fall, November underperformed relative to prior years, with occupancy declining even as rates remained elevated. This dynamic may indicate increased price sensitivity among travelers, particularly during the early holiday booking window, as households adjust travel plans in response to economic pressures.

Overall, while 2025 reflects a softer year for occupancy, peak season resilience remains evident. The data highlights a clear opportunity to rebuild demand during shoulder and low seasons, where targeted strategies—such as value-driven promotions, adjusted rate positioning, and expanded market reach—can help offset seasonal volatility and improve overall occupancy performance.

Revenue Per Available Rental (RevPAR):

RevPar (ADR) 2025 Palm Springs

 

 

Revenue Per Available Rental (RevPAR):

Overall, 2026 began with strong momentum, highlighting the revenue potential during peak season. However, performance softened through the summer months before showing signs of recovery toward the end of the shoulder season.

During peak season, January experienced a notable increase, largely driven by displacement demand from the Los Angeles fires. March saw a slight dip, though performance remained strong overall. This softening can be partially attributed to a shift in booking behavior, with more guests opting for stays longer than 30 days. These extended stays either fall under length-of-stay discounts or are excluded from standard reporting metrics, impacting on reported short-term rental RevPAR.

April emerged as a particularly encouraging month, outperforming prior years. This suggests that festival season demand is rebounding and trending closer to pre-pandemic levels, an important signal for continued peak-season strength.

As expected, summer performance softened into early fall, reflecting typical seasonal demand patterns in the market, though the declines were more pronounced this year. Despite this, late shoulder season showed improvement, with December finishing strong. This gain was supported by holiday travel demand and indicates positive traction heading into year-end.

RevPAR is considered the gold standard metric in the vacation rental space, as it balances occupancy and rates.

Looking Ahead

As we move through Q1 2026, early indicators point to moderate but stable performance for the Palm Springs vacation rental market. Peak season occupancy remains strong, providing a solid foundation and signaling a likely positive quarter overall.

That said, elevated demand continues to be met with equally high supply in the short-term rental space, creating a highly competitive environment across the market. While demand fundamentals are healthy, this supply pressure is expected to temper rate growth in certain periods.

January is unlikely to match prior-year performance, as 2025 benefited from a one-time demand surge driven by the Los Angeles fires. Without that displacement factor, year-over-year comparisons are expected to normalize.

Looking ahead, April is shaping up to be a standout month, with festival season demand rebounding strongly. We anticipate higher occupancy levels alongside ADR growth, reflecting a return to more typical peak-season compression and pricing power.

One ongoing headwind is the continued absence of some snowbirds and seasonal winter guests, a trend that has persisted since last year. Despite this gap in a key demographic segment, overall demand remains resilient, and we are still seeing incremental gains as travelers continue to return to the market.

The Palm Springs market remains resilient and valuable for vacation rental owners, particularly those aligned with expert property management. As a trusted local operator, Natural Retreats aids homeowners in optimizing both occupancy and revenue through dynamic pricing, luxury guest services, and attentive care.

KEY-DATA KPI DEFINITIONS

Glossary

 

  • ADR (Average Daily Rate) measures the average Unit Revenue paid by guests for the Guest Nights in a given time period. ADR = Unit Revenue (Nightly) / Guest Nights.
  • APO (Adjusted Paid Occupancy) calculates the percentage of Guest Nights out of the total nights available for guests to book, or the Nights Available. Adjusted Paid Occupancy = Guest Nights / Nights Available.
  • Adjusted RevPAR (Revenue Per Available “Room”) is calculated by multiplying the Adjusted Paid Occupancy % by the ADR. A critical KPI for measuring revenue performance, Adjusted RevPAR takes into account both the average rate at which you booked the property (ADR) and the number of nights it was booked less owner nights and holds (Adjusted Paid Occupancy).  This provides a better indicator of overall performance when compared to looking at the ADR or the Occupancy alone. Adjusted RevPAR = Adjusted Paid Occupancy % x ADR (or) Total Unit Revenue / Total Available Paid Nights in a given period.
pool views in palm springs

Partner with Natural Retreats

We’re actively seeking partnerships with real estate professionals who want to offer added value to their clients. Whether your buyers are exploring vacation home investments or sellers who need a compelling income story, we’re here to help with:

  • Complimentary revenue projections
  • Pre-market rental assessments
  • Seamless onboarding for new homeowner clients
  • Consultation of current short-term rental regulations

 

Natural Retreats provides expert vacation rental management designed to drive returns and preserve property value. We're actively partnering with local agents to help buyers and sellers unlock the full potential of short-term rentals.