Realtor Connection

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Tim Drain

Regional Manager of Business Development

Dear Partners,

We hope your 2026 is off to a great start and that you had a happy holiday season! As we turn the calendar, we want to share the most up to date short-term rental data, along with our perspective on how it applies to the Big Sky market. This review provides an overview of Key Performance Indicator (KPI) trends for 2025 as compared to 2024.  We will also provide a look ahead to the remainder of the 2026 winter season.

Market Overview

The Big Sky vacation rental market remained steady in 2025 as compared with 2024, while many markets in our competitive set experienced great volatility.  Big Sky saw mixed results during Q3 this year, with a modest uptick in ADR combined with a modest decline in APO.  This resulted in RevPAR flat to slightly up year over year.

Overall annual rental performance was mixed, with a slower summer season and a strong start to the year with great snow for the first quarter of the year.  While economic uncertainties have led to a decrease in lower and middle-income visitors and geopolitical concerns have decreased the amount of Canadian and overseas visitors, Big Sky remains well positioned to capitalize on the more affluent domestic demographic that our market continues to appeal to. Those who are traveling to luxury destinations are prioritizing quality and comfort, with a focus on the experience at the core of their travel. Big Sky’s ever-increasing airlift, access to the outdoors, and world-class skiing position us nicely to meet this demand. Vacation rental managers with high-end portfolios and a focus on guest service, such as Natural Retreats, are able to outperform in an increasingly competitive marketplace.

2025 Key Performance Indicators  


The Data

The data below was sourced from Key Data, a third-party short-term rental analytics provider sourcing authoritative data from 10 property managers and from privately managed rentals with +/- 1,350 properties, all of which are located within the BSRAD boundary.  Key Data refers to the market within the BSRAD boundary, as Greater Big Sky.

Average Daily Rate (ADR)

Average Daily Rate (ADR) 2025 Big Sky

 

Average Daily Rate (ADR):

The Greater Big Sky market saw a 2.2% year-over-year increase, as vacation rental managers held higher rates to benefit from the steady demand from more affluent guests and focus on higher value stays as reflected in a 2.8% increase in average length of stay across all bookings. 

Greater Big Sky

  • 2025: $732 (+2.2%)
  • 2024: $716

Adjusted Paid Occupancy

Adjusted Occupancy Rate (ADR) 2025 Big Sky

 

Adjusted Paid Occupancy:

The market saw a proportionate 2.2% decline in APO to the increase we saw in ADR. The decline in APO came mainly during the summer months, continuing the trend of the past several years of increasing visitation during the winter months, with a slight decline during the summer. Supply of smaller, less premium properties has increased, leading to more competition and an overall lower APO rate within these properties. Demand for higher-end properties with unique and desirable features and proximity to local amenities drove APO during peak summer and winter periods.

Greater Big Sky

  • 2025: 32.0% (-2.2%)
  • 2024: 32.7%

Adjusted Revenue per Available Rental (RevPAR)

RevPar (ADR) 2025  Big Sky

 

Big Sky Market RevPAR:

The Greater Big Sky market was able to remain flat in terms of RevPAR by balancing modest ADR growth with a managed decline in APO. While some companies slashed rates and minimum length of stay requirements to fill homes, the higher-end segment of the market bucked the “occupancy at any cost” mentality by focusing on high quality bookings, advanced bookings, and an increased average length of stay. Natural Retreats maintained a RevPAR premium through portfolio curation, while our award-winning Marketing Team attracted high-net-worth individuals and affluent families through targeted campaigns and PR efforts. We’ve also fine-tuned our dynamic pricing software and strategy to maximize revenue per booking rather than fill homes at any cost.

Greater Big Sky

  • 2025: $234 (Flat YoY)
  • 2024: $234

 

Natural Retreats

  • 2025: $252

Looking Ahead

Now let’s look ahead through the remainder of the 2026 ski season (April). It’s no secret that Big Sky, along with the Rocky Mountain West, is not off to a great start to the winter in terms of snowpack and ski conditions. The Greater Big Sky market appears to be holding onto high rates as of the start of 2026 as evidenced by an 8.7% increase in ADR and a modest 8.2% increase in APO. Natural Retreats has flexed slightly on rates now that we have secured the benefit of advanced bookings at higher dollar amounts. The result of this is a slight decrease of 1.7% in ADR, along with a strong 36.7% increase in YoY APO. Natural Retreats is currently pacing 34.4% ahead of the same period last year in RevPAR, while the Greater Big Sky market is seeing roughly half of that with a 17.6% increase with RevPAR currently at $441. Professional, industry-leading brands like Natural Retreats are demonstrating that we can outperform the market and deliver stronger returns to our homeowners. We’re accomplishing this by employing robust teams of specialists in Marketing and Revenue Management, adopting new technologies, and adapting to market conditions in real time.

KEY-DATA KPI DEFINITIONS

Glossary

 

  • ADR (Average Daily Rate) measures the average Unit Revenue paid by guests for the Guest Nights in a given time period. ADR = Unit Revenue (Nightly) / Guest Nights.
  • APO (Adjusted Paid Occupancy) calculates the percentage of Guest Nights out of the total nights available for guests to book, or the Nights Available. Adjusted Paid Occupancy = Guest Nights / Nights Available.
  • Adjusted RevPAR (Revenue Per Available “Room”) is calculated by multiplying the Adjusted Paid Occupancy % by the ADR. A critical KPI for measuring revenue performance, Adjusted RevPAR takes into account both the average rate at which you booked the property (ADR) and the number of nights it was booked less owner nights and holds (Adjusted Paid Occupancy).  This provides a better indicator of overall performance when compared to looking at the ADR or the Occupancy alone. Adjusted RevPAR = Adjusted Paid Occupancy % x ADR (or) Total Unit Revenue / Total Available Paid Nights in a given period.
rustic fireplace in home

Partner with Natural Retreats

We’re actively seeking partnerships with real estate professionals who want to bring added value to their clients. Whether your buyers are exploring vacation home investment or sellers need a compelling income story, we are here to help with:

  • Complimentary revenue projections
  • Pre-market rental assessments
  • Seamless onboarding for new homeowner clients
  • Consultation of current short-term rental regulations

 

At Natural Retreats, we provide expert vacation rental management designed to drive returns and preserve property value. We're actively partnering with local agents to help buyers and sellers unlock the full potential of short-term rentals.